SNP voters who rejected Scottish independence? The results of yesterday’s...
The referendum on Scottish independence last night ended up as the No camp hoped, the Yes camp had been trying not to think about, and almost exactly as I’d predicted, though I was certainly not alone....
View ArticleNot so quiet before the storm: Local elections in Budapest, Hungary
For the third time in a year, on October 12, Hungary is having elections, this time for mayors and municipal councils. They’re predictably depressing, but I wrote a post about the contexts, data and...
View ArticleGreece, ten days before the elections: Based on an average of the most recent...
The polling Wikipedia has a seemingly exhaustive list of opinion polls, which appears to be updated every day or almost every day. The numbers there have been recalculated where necessary to exclude...
View ArticlePolling: The short, sharp election campaign in Greece led to surprisingly...
It’s election day in Greece and the campaign will have been one of the shortest Europe’s seen in some while: it’s just 27 days ago, on 29 December, that parliament failed to elect a new president in...
View ArticleGreece, elections 2015: How did the pollsters fare? Not too shabbily
In the aftermath of the momentous Greek elections, this seems worth mentioning: the Greek exit polls were fairly close to the mark, and the last pre-election polls approached the actual election...
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Elsewhere online: Brief updates in comments sections on Daily Kos Elections about the city state elections in Hamburg and the sudden Sporanos-esque turn in Hungarian politics. Blog post at Medium: Can...
View ArticleHungary: polling update and by-election preview
The Hungarian pollsters have been disagreeing about how much the grip which Viktor Orban’s governing party Fidesz has on the Hungarian electorate has been slipping. Things surely aren’t looking as...
View ArticleHungary: the far right Jobbik wins its first ever constituency seat
There was a parliamentary by-election today in Hungary, in the seat of Tapolca, which encompasses a swath of the Balaton lakeshore and some of its hinterland, including the towns of Ajka (pop. 29,000),...
View ArticleProvincial elections in the Netherlands: The left is losing (its) face
Unprecedented fragmentation, a weakened government that will have to go in search for further allies to keep functioning, and a new record low for the Labour Party. Those were the main features of the...
View ArticleElections for “Supreme Burgomaster” in Dresden: Ready for round 2
Last weekend the citizens of Dresden went to the polls for the first round of elections for Oberbürgermeister, an office which Wikipedia translates as Supreme Burgomaster. That sounds funny. Let’s just...
View ArticleRegional elections in France and the National Front scare: After the run-off
It’s a great relief for any democrat that Marine Le Pen’s Front National (FN) failed to win any region, after having led in six after the first round, and after Le Pen herself had prognosticated that...
View ArticlePosting elsewhere: Mapping election results in Budapest; photos of New York...
Elsewhere online: Between the tower blocks and family houses: what mapping election results taught me about BudapestSocialist pensioners in high-rise estates. Far-right voters in other, less fortunate...
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